Global M&A activity is booming, fueled by artificial intelligence and strategic realignments, but companies must be discerning in their investments.
Global M&A activity is booming, fueled by artificial intelligence and strategic realignments, but companies must be discerning in their investments.
  • M&A activity reached record levels in 2025, driven by interest rate cuts and increased AI spending.
  • Companies are reassessing portfolios due to geopolitical risks and uneven growth, requiring strategic reinvention.
  • The funding squeeze has made private equity and alternative capital sources increasingly important in deal financing.
  • AI-related demand and mega-deals are fueling the resurgence in M&A, but heavy capital spending may temper activity.

Good News Everyone, Deals are Up

Oh my yes, good news everyone. It appears those pesky mergers and acquisitions are at it again. As I always say, "I don't know what you do in there, but keep doing it". Following a particularly vigorous 2025, where deal values surged nearly 40% reaching a record of $4.9 trillion – that’s nearly enough to buy a decent vial of dark matter – this trend continues into 2026. Apparently, these whippersnappers are reassessing their portfolios, whatever those are, and this newfangled artificial intelligence is creating demand for large-scale transactions. Someone should tell them about the dangers of relying too much on machines. Remember what happened with Bender? Nasty business.

The Perils of a Tight Capital Pool

But hold on to your hats. There's a catch, naturally. This tightening capital pool I keep hearing about is forcing executives to be more selective. Seems like the youth of today have forgotten the simple pleasure of throwing money at problems until they go away. A Bain & Company survey suggests that 80% expect deal activity to remain robust due to improving macroeconomic conditions and a growing pile of private equity assets. Oh, and trade policies settled into what they call "less threatening change", leading to a "fear of missing out." As I always say, "When will they ever learn?" Speaking of missing out, you should read this article U.S. Trade Deal Goes Kaput, EU Ready to Get Schwifty

Reinventing the Wheel…Again

According to some so-called experts, this shift is driven by companies reassessing their portfolios due to geopolitical risks, economic fragmentation, and uneven global growth. Boards, bless their antiquated circuits, are reconsidering where they operate and what risks they're willing to tolerate. As Suzanne Kumar from Bain aptly puts it, "Companies urgently need to reinvent themselves." Reinvent? Bah. Why bother when you can just invent something entirely new and probably useless? Like Smell-O-Scope… or the What-If Machine.

The Rise of Private Capital

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Because of this “tightest funding squeeze in decades”, the proportion of capital allocated to M&A hit a 30-year low in 2025. So, what are they doing? Turning to private capital, naturally. Private equity firms are deploying idle cash, borrowers are turning to private credit funds, and sovereign wealth funds are acting as lead investors. It's all very complicated and dull. I prefer inventing things, like the Fing-Longer. Now *that’s* progress.

AI: Friend or Foe…of Mergers

Ah, Artificial Intelligence, the bane of my existence. Blockbuster deals are fueling the resurgence in M&A, all thanks to AI-related demand. Mega-deals, valued at over $5 billion, accounted for more than 73% of the increase in deal value. But here's the real kicker, the heavy capital spending in AI could actually *constrain* M&A activity in the near term. It seems even machines can’t quite decide whether they want to merge or acquire. As I always say, "You can't prove that with my DNA."

A Multitrillion-Dollar Diversion

According to Brian Levy at PwC, investment in AI is being directed towards data centers, energy, and other infrastructure. He suggests this could divert capital and temper M&A activity. So, in conclusion, it seems we're caught in a technological paradox. We're eager to merge and acquire, but we're also spending all our money on the very thing driving the mergers. Brilliant. Makes perfect sense, just like my quantum butterscotch. On the other hand, as I always say, "Let's go already."


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